Notes: -My latest Week in Charts Video on YouTube. -My recent Webinar with YCharts. -My Conversation with Anthony Pompliano. __ This week’s post is sponsored by YCharts. Mention Charlie Bilello to receive a free trial and 20% off your subscription when you initially sign up for the service. __ 10 charts and themes from the past week that tell an interesting […]
Stocks go up and stocks go down. Most of the time there’s nothing interesting or exceptional to say about it. But from time to time, notable extremes occur, both on the downside and the upside. The driving force? The most powerful human emotions: fear and greed. In the past few years we’ve seen both sides… […]
Notes: –Register here for my webinar with YCharts on June 14 (2pm EST). We’ll be discussing the history of bear markets, the lowest consumer sentiment in history, the only path to long-term prosperity, and much more. -I have a new channel on YouTube where I share my latest thoughts on markets and investing. You can view the most recent video here. […]
After years of hard work, you’re ready to retire. You’ve been a disciplined saver and investor, building up a sizable nest egg that should allow you to maintain your current lifestyle throughout your golden years. Your biggest fear? A devastating bear market that would significantly reduce the value of your portfolio and put you at […]
Note: Register here for my next markets webinar with YCharts on June 14 (2pm EST). Will be discussing the history of bear markets, the odds of a recession, whether the inflation rate has peaked, and much more. __ This week’s post is sponsored by YCharts. Mention Charlie Bilello to receive a free trial and 20% off your subscription when […]
Note: I have a new channel on YouTube where I share my latest thoughts on markets and investing. You can view the most recent video here. __ This week’s post is sponsored by YCharts. Mention Charlie Bilello to receive 20% off your subscription when you initially sign up for the service. — 10 charts and themes from the past week that tell an interesting […]
It’s official: the Bear Market of 2022. The S&P 500 has now fallen 20.9% from its high in early January, the largest decline for the index since March 2020. The question everyone’s asking: what happens next? To answer that, we often look back at history, attempting to find parallels with the past. But even a […]
“Hence the prices of common stocks are not carefully thought out computations, but the resultants of a welter of human reactions. The stock market is a voting machine rather than a weighing machine. It responds to factual data not directly, but only as they affect the decisions of buyers and sellers.” – Graham and Dodd, Security Analysis […]
Note: I have a new channel on YouTube where I share my latest thoughts on markets and investing. You can view the most recent video here. 10 charts from the past week that tell an interesting story in markets and investing… 1) Has the Inflation Rate Peaked? I asked this question on Twitter this week with 55% […]
The market has gone up over time. But not all the time; far from it. And therein lies the challenge, for you can’t have one (long-term gain) without the other (short-term pain). Since 1990, the S&P 500 has returned an impressive 10% per year. And it’s done so despite two 50+% bear markets and being […]
This week’s post is sponsored by YCharts. Mention Charlie Bilello to receive 20% off your subscription when you initially sign up for the service. — 9 charts from the past week that tell an interesting story in markets and investing… 1) Two Steps Forward, One Step Back That’s the path all investors must take, as there is no upside without intermittent […]
This week’s post is sponsored by YCharts. Mention Charlie Bilello to receive 20% off your subscription when you initially sign up for the service. — 9 charts from the past week that tell an interesting story in markets and investing… 1) Hard Times The S&P 500 declined 13.3% in the first 82 trading days of 2022, the worst start to a […]
I Don’t Know Three words that are rarely heard in the investment business and at the same time the most important to long-term success. Why? Because the future is unknown and having the humility to admit that is very hard for us to do. We’re wired instead with overconfidence – we tend to overestimate our […]
Notes: –Click Here for a replay of my recent webinar with YCharts covering Fed Policy, Equity Valuations, the Worst Year for Bonds in History, and much more. -I have a new video channel on YouTube where I’ll be sharing my latest thoughts on markets and investing. You can view the most recent video here. -Join thousands of other investors […]
Cash is king. At least for the moment. In the first quarter of 2022, short-term Treasury bills finished marginally higher (+0.03%) while both the 10-Year Treasury bond (-6.64%) and the S&P 500 (-4.95%) declined. The greatest fear among many investors is that this trend will continue. Is this a rational fear? How often has cash […]
The US Unemployment Rate moved down to 3.6% in March, its lowest level since the start of the pandemic and well below the historical average of 5.75%. If you asked most people, they would probably say this is a bullish sign, where a strong economy is good news for the stock market. But is this […]
There are few things investors fear more than an inverted yield curve (the relatively uncommon situation where short-term yields are higher than longer-term yields). Why? Because it tends to be a pretty good indicator of future economic weakness. Case in point: the last 6 recessions in the US were all preceded by an inverted curve. […]
Note: Register Here for my webinar tomorrow (April 13 @ 2pm EST) with YCharts covering Fed Policy, Equity Valuations, the Worst Year for Bonds in History, and Much More. This week’s post is sponsored by YCharts. Mention Charlie Bilello to receive 20% off your subscription when you initially sign up for the service. — 7 charts from the past week that […]
Register Here for a big upcoming Webinar with YCharts (April 13) on the yield curve inversion, rising risk of recession, and much more. 7 charts from the past week that tell an interesting story in markets and investing… 1) The Greatest Jobs Comeback in History During the pandemic shutdowns in March and April of 2020, […]
The markets are volatile, the news is bad, and the value of your portfolio is going down. You’re afraid things may get worse and you want to do something about it. This is a perfectly normal reaction. When faced with something painful, we look for ways to ease the pain. While such a response serves […]
Note: I have a new video channel on YouTube where I’ll be sharing my latest thoughts on markets and investing. You can view the video accompanying this post here. This week’s post is sponsored by YCharts. Mention Charlie Bilello to receive 20% off your subscription when you initially sign up for the service. — 7 charts from the past week that tell an interesting story […]
Note: I have a new video channel on YouTube where I’ll be sharing my latest thoughts on markets and investing. You can view the video accompanying this post here. ___ 7 charts from the past week that tell an interesting story in markets and investing… 1) The Historic Rally The S&P 500 was up more than 1% in each […]
Note: I have a new video channel on YouTube where I’ll be sharing my latest thoughts on markets and investing. Check out the video accompanying this post here. ___ This week’s post is sponsored by YCharts. Mention Charlie Bilello to receive 20% off your subscription when you initially sign up for the service. ___ 7 charts from the past week that tell an interesting story […]
Note: click here to view my video on this post. “What are the historical returns?” That’s the first and often only question many investors ask before allocating capital. Why? Because we’re wired to believe that those returns are indicative of what we’ll receive in the future. If something has gone up 20%, we expect another […]
Note: I have a new video channel on YouTube where I’ll be sharing my latest thoughts on markets and investing. Check out the video accompanying this post here. ___ This week’s post is sponsored by YCharts. Mention Charlie Bilello to receive 20% off your subscription when you initially sign up for the service. ___ 7 charts from the past week that tell an interesting […]