All posts by Charlie Bilello


5-Chart Friday (7/31/20)

5 charts from the past week that tell an interesting story in markets and investing… 1) The Amazon Economy It’s hard to imagine a scenario that would have benefited Amazon more than forcing brick-and-mortar stores to close and telling people to stay home. And benefit they did, with 40% revenue growth in the past year, […]

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The Shortest Recession in History?

How quickly things change. Back in March, there were widespread fears of a second Great Depression. A few months later, as stocks surged, everyone was talking about the “v-shaped recovery.” What does the data suggest? Let’s take a look. First, we need to put the pre-covid economic environment in context. In February when the economy […]

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5-Chart Friday (7/24/20)

5 charts from the past week that tell an interesting story in markets and investing… 1) Great Expectations Tesla reported earnings this week with high expectations going in. A year ago, the stock was trading at less than 2x sales. Before earnings, it was trading at an incredible 12x sales, with its stock up over […]

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5-Chart Friday (7/17/20)

5 charts from the past week that tell an interesting story in markets and investing… 1) Bonds for the Long Run? Total returns over the last 20 years… US Stocks: +227% Long-term US Corporate Bonds: 378% Corporate bonds yields were at 8% 20 years ago. Today they’re at 2.05%, an all-time low. The future is […]

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5-Chart Friday (7/10/20)

5 charts from the past week that tell an interesting story in markets and investing… 1) The Big 4 On March 9, 2009, the combined market cap of Apple, Microsoft, Google (Alphabet), and Amazon was $326 billion. Their combined market cap today: $5.77 trillion, up more than 17x since 3/9/09. 2) Dividends … Down S&P […]

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How to Think About Home Price Appreciation

Your home is your castle, and if you’re like most Americans, it is also the largest component of your net worth. Naturally, you would like to see your home appreciate in value over time. But how much would be a reasonable expectation? Let’s take a look at history… Since 1891, U.S. home prices have increased […]

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Put These Charts on Your Wall … 2020 Edition

Put these charts on your wall for reference the next time you think… Stocks can’t go up during a recession… It’s “oversold” or “at support” and has to bounce… It’s “overbought” or “at resistance” and can‘t possibly go higher… Investors are rational and would never pay $239.50 for something worth $22.83… It can’t go below $0… Interest rates can’t go […]

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5-Chart Friday (7/3/20)

5 charts from the past week that tell an interesting story in markets and investing… 1) The King of Buybacks Apple has bought back $338 billion in stock over the past 7 years, which is greater than the market cap of 492 companies in the S&P 500. 2) Top S&P 500 Stocks … Last 20 […]

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5-Chart Friday (6/26/20)

5 charts from the past week that tell an interesting story in markets and investing… 1. Dow Winners and Losers… It’s a tale of sectors in the Dow this year. Large tech names (Microsoft and Apple) are acting as if they are immune to recession while the shutdown has hit Industrials (Boeing, Raytheon), Energy (Exxon […]

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COVID-19: Breaking Down the “Second Wave”

Talk of a “second wave” of COVID-19 in the US has begun. Why? Let’s take a closer look through a series of questions and answers… What’s going on with new cases? New daily cases in the US hit their highest level ever yesterday (38,672), surpassing the prior high from April 25 (36,006). But I thought […]

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